We are still badly in need of rain having had only a few showers during the past week even when the weatherman was calling for more.There is a chance that we may get some this week....another tropical storm,Christobal,is forecast to come near our southern coast,aka my area,on Tuesday.Even if we have to endure tropical storm force winds it will be worth it to get some rain before everything here dries up.It's too early in the summer for us to be in this state and there's lots of hot weather yet to come.
If anything transpires from the storm I will update the blog.Meanwhile,check the cams for a look at the weather outside my window.
Have a great week.
The latest statement from the Canadian Hurricane Center:
WOCN31 CWHX 200600
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 AM ADT
SUNDAY 20 JULY 2008.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT
... CRISTOBAL SHOWS NO SIGN OF STREGTHENING...
1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION
AT 3.00 AM ADT... TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.8 N AND LONGITUDE 77.0 W... ABOUT 50 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 95 KM EAST SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS... 74 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
1004 MB. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS... 9 KM/H.
2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH
DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
JUL 20 3.00 AM 33.8N 77.0W 1004 40 74
JUL 20 3.00 PM 34.6N 75.8W 999 50 93
JUL 21 3.00 AM 36.0N 74.0W 996 55 102
JUL 21 3.00 PM 37.9N 71.5W 997 50 93
JUL 22 3.00 AM 40.8N 67.9W 1000 45 83
JUL 22 3.00 PM 43.3N 65.0W 1004 35 65
JUL 23 3.00 AM 46.9N 60.8W 1012 25 46
3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
GIVEN FORECAST TRACK, EXPECT SOME RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ON TUESDAY
OVER NORTHEASTERN NOVA SCOTIA.
4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
TROPICAL FORCE WINDS BEGINNING GEORGES BANK TUESDAY MORNING AND
SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION
A. ANALYSIS
WILMINGTON RADAR COMBINED WITH OFFSHORE BOUYS GIVE GOOD IDEA
OF POSITION. CONVECTION ON SAT PIX NOT WELL ORGANISED EXCEPT
FOR SUDDEN BLOSSOMING JUST SOUTH OF CENTRE AT 03 ZULU.
QUICKSCAT AND ASCAT DID NOT SCAN OVER CRISTOBAL.
B. PROGNOSTIC
LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK. AS MENTIONED
CRISTOBAL IS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD UPPER RIDGE. THIS RIDGE LIES
ROUGHLY ALONG THE 28 NORTH LATITUDE SO THIS SHOULD NUDGE THE
SYSTEM SLOWLY INTO THE UPPER LATITUDES. WESTERLIES
KICK IN AT 40 NORTH. UPPER TROUGH DOES NOT APPROACH UNTIL
MONDAY MORNING SO AT THAT TIME WE SHOULD BEGIN TO GET A
GOOD HANDLE ON CRISTOBAL AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE UPPER WINDS
AND ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD. CRISTOBAL WILL CROSS THE NORTH WALL
OF THE GULF STREAM MONDAY EVENING SO WEAKENING IS A CERTAINTY
THEREAFTER.
C. PUBLIC WEATHER
A WARM FRONT WILL CAUSE RAIN ON MONDAY FOR NOVA SCOTIA. WITH
TROPICAL MOISTURE FEEDING INTO FRONTAL SYSTEM ON TUESDAY.. WE
EXPECT MUCH THE SAME FOR TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.
D. MARINE WEATHER
WILL PUT GALE FORCE WINDS INTO MARINE EXTENDED FORCAST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN WATERS OF THE MARITIME MARINE DISTRICT.
The 5 Day forecast:
Today
Day: Cloudy with sunny periods and 30 percent chance of showers. Fog patches retreating to the coast early this morning. High 22. UV index 7 or high.
Night: Cloudy. Showers beginning this evening. Amount 5 mm. Fog patches spreading inland this evening. Low 16.
Monday
Rain with the risk of a thundershower. Amount 20 to 30 mm. Fog patches. Wind becoming southwest 20 km/h in the morning. High 20.
Tuesday
Rain. Windy. Low 17. High 26.
Wednesday
Showers. Low 14. High 26.
Thursday
Showers. Low 16. High 24.
Watch our weather as it happens via our cam(s).Click here.
Note:The temps shown in the forecast block on the right are collected at the nearest local weather station located at Western Head which is very near the ocean.The temps there are quite different than here usually.
No comments:
Post a Comment